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Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

par Daniel Kahneman (Directeur de publication), Paul Slovic (Directeur de publication), Amos Tversky (Directeur de publication)

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356372,352 (4.08)2
The thirty-five chapters in this book describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Individual chapters discuss the representativeness and availability heuristics, problems in judging covariation and control, overconfidence, multistage inference, social perception, medical diagnosis, risk perception, and methods for correcting and improving judgments under uncertainty. About half of the chapters are edited versions of classic articles; the remaining chapters are newly written for this book. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas of research and application rather than describing single experimental studies. This book will be useful to a wide range of students and researchers, as well as to decision makers seeking to gain insight into their judgments and to improve them.… (plus d'informations)
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» Voir aussi les 2 mentions

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A wealth of information on the subject. Looking forward to subsequent volume that adds 20 years of additional research ( )
  boeintuy2 | Apr 20, 2022 |
A collection of academic essays. They can be hit or miss, but the hits make this well worth slogging through. My favorites were "Judgment under uncertainty", "Belief in the law of small numbers", and "Learning from experience and suboptimal rules in decision making" (I was unable to find a copy of this one online). ( )
  wgyn | Jul 3, 2013 |
Author Jonah Lehrer has chosen to discuss Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases on FiveBooks as one of the top five on his subject - Decision-Making, saying that:



“...This is one of the most influential books in modern economics. But first of all, it’s just this list of incredibly clever experiments, where Kahneman and Tversky just asked their undergraduates very simple hypothetical questions. They took these very simple protocols and transformed them into the first really hard proof that people consistently violate the expectation of rational agents. That we don’t think like homo economicus at all. Irrationality is embedded deep into our operating system. …”



The full interview is available here: http://fivebooks.com/interviews/jonah-lehrer-on-decision-making ( )
  FiveBooks | Apr 14, 2010 |
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Kahneman, DanielDirecteur de publicationauteur principaltoutes les éditionsconfirmé
Slovic, PaulDirecteur de publicationauteur principaltoutes les éditionsconfirmé
Tversky, AmosDirecteur de publicationauteur principaltoutes les éditionsconfirmé
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The thirty-five chapters in this book describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Individual chapters discuss the representativeness and availability heuristics, problems in judging covariation and control, overconfidence, multistage inference, social perception, medical diagnosis, risk perception, and methods for correcting and improving judgments under uncertainty. About half of the chapters are edited versions of classic articles; the remaining chapters are newly written for this book. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas of research and application rather than describing single experimental studies. This book will be useful to a wide range of students and researchers, as well as to decision makers seeking to gain insight into their judgments and to improve them.

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