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Chargement... Numbers Don't Lie: 71 Stories to Help Us Understand the Modern World (original 2021; édition 2021)par Vaclav Smil (Auteur)
Information sur l'oeuvreNumbers Don't Lie: 71 Stories to Help Us Understand the Modern World par Vaclav Smil (2021)
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Countless insights. I believe it was Lord Kelvin who said you can only discuss things you can measure. While that may be debated this book provides a smorgasbord of measurements and much food for thought. It also serves as a continuing warning about climate change. Still out is a very upbeat presentation indicating many opportunities for action. Although billed as an "essential" guide to the constraints hemming in policy decisions in terms of production and energy use, this collection of essays by the noted polymath Vaclav Smil mostly exist to have provided him with amusement; having been given a platform by the Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers. As for the overarching theme, you can say that it's about achieving efficiencies in modern industrial society, the constraints to doing so, and how how restraint in consumption is highly underrated. One thing that I can say is that even just dipping at random into this collection will probably make you feel smarter. The Guardian apparently calls him "the nerd's nerd" and he certainly covers a lot of ground and puts some really interesting statistics forward. For example he has computed the feeding efficiencies for different types of meat species: 3-4 units of feed per edible unit for broiler chickens, 9-10 for pork and 20-30 for beef.Interestingly this also demonstrates that Vaclav has his blind spots. Broilers are raised in intensive sheds and fed grain (which is grown elsewhere), Beef in the USA may also be produced on feedlots but can also be produced on the open range where the animals feed on low value grass or herbage which could not otherwise be utilised. So his equations are fine....as far as they go but they are not the full story. Similarly, he goes to great lengths to demonstrate that large wind generators absorb a lot of resources to construct. His implied conclusion is that they are not economic because of this....but he also has the throw-away line that these costs would be recovered in on year of operations. So, presumably, the next 19-20 years of generation would be virtually free (apart from maintenance costs and disposal coasts). I really enjoyed his articles. Each a short pithy essay making his points really strongly. For example: diesel engines are here to stay. There are no readily available mass-mover (container ships, bulk haul ships, trucks and freight trains) alternatives. However, I really detect a blind spot when it comes to the role of services in the economy. Vaclav seems to hold fast to the notion that the only good economic activity is manufacturing. This flies in the face of the reality that all of the advanced economies are increasingly reliant on services as the economic generator and most GDP in the developed countries is generated by the service sectors. (It's over 80% in USA and Australia for example). Manufacturing is a very small direct contributor But Vaclav writes like an engineer who places manufacturing on a pedestal and suggests that no other sector can generate so many well paying jobs. Sorry Vaclav. You are wrong. The service sectors generate by far the most jobs in advanced economies and tell the community that the lawyers, bankers, doctors, dentists, IT programmers, etc. have poorly paid jobs and you invite incredulity. Again Vaclav seems terribly out of touch, and has a real blind spot with the services sector. He does however make the point that the USA is not the world leader on a number of important indices such as life expectancy, infant mortality, obesity, happiness. (And, I might add, income equality). The USA is certainly up there with the leaders but lots of other countries are outperforming it. He has an interesting article about kerosene (which is the primary constituent of jet fuel). He makes the point that it has a very high energy density of 42.8 mégajoules per kilogram. This is slightly less than gasoline but it can stay liquid down to -47 degrees C, and it beats gasoline on cost evaporative losses and fire risk. He can't see an alternative to Kerosene for aviation but does make the point that today's airliners are burning about 50% less fuel per passenger km than they did in 1960. All in all, I found the book fascinating and his erudition impressive. I would have been even more impressed if I was not aware of those blind spots mentioned above. Happy to give it 4.5 stars. aucune critique | ajouter une critique
Mathematics.
Politics.
Science.
Nonfiction.
HTML:"There is no author whose books I look forward to more than Vaclav Smil."â??Bill Gates An essential guide to understanding how numbers reveal the true state of our worldâ??exploring a wide range of topics including energy, the environment, technology, transportation, and food production. Vaclav Smil's mission is to make facts matter. An environmental scientist, policy analyst, and a hugely prolific author, he is Bill Gates' go-to guy for making sense of our world. In Numbers Don't Lie, Smil answers questions such as: What's worse for the environmentâ??your car or your phone? How much do the world's cows weigh (and what does it matter)? And what makes people happy? From data about our societies and populations, through measures of the fuels and foods that energize them, to the impact of transportation and inventions of our modern worldâ??and how all of this affects the planet itselfâ??in Numbers Don't Lie, Vaclav Smil takes us on a fact-finding adventure, using surprising statistics to challenge conventional thinking. Packed with fascinating information and memorable examples, Numbers Don't Lie reveals how the US is leading a rising worldwide trend in chicken consumption, that vaccination yields the best return on investment, and why electric cars aren't as great as we think (yet). Urgent and essential, with a mix of science, history, and witâ??all in bite-sized chapters on a broad range of topicsâ??Numbers Don't Lie inspires readers to interrogate what Aucune description trouvée dans une bibliothèque |
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