Philip E. Tetlock
Auteur de Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
A propos de l'auteur
Philip E. Tetlock is the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania. His books include Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction and Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics (Princeton).
Œuvres de Philip E. Tetlock
Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume I (Behavior, Society, & Nuclear War) (1990) 15 exemplaires
Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume II (Behavior, Society, & Nuclear War) (1990) 7 exemplaires
Oeuvres associées
Taking Sides: Clashing Views in Social Psychology (2006) — Contributeur, quelques éditions — 19 exemplaires
Psychological Science Under Scrutiny: Recent Challenges and Proposed Remedies (2017) — Contributeur — 7 exemplaires
Étiqueté
Partage des connaissances
- Nom canonique
- Tetlock, Philip E.
- Nom légal
- Tetlock, Philip Eyrikson
- Date de naissance
- 1954-03-02
- Sexe
- male
- Nationalité
- USA
Canada (birth) - Lieu de naissance
- Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Études
- University of British Columbia (BA | 1975 | MA | 1976)
Yale University (PhD | Psychology | 1979) - Professions
- psychologist
professor - Relations
- Sniderman, Paul M. (co-editor)
Brody, Richard A. (co-editor) - Organisations
- University of California, Berkeley
Ohio State University
Haas School of Business - Prix et distinctions
- Grawemeyer Award (2008)
Woodrow Wilson Book Award (1992 | 2005)
Robert E. Lane Award (2005)
National Academy of Sciences Award for Behavioral Research Relevant to the Prevention of War (1999)
Nevitt Sanford Award (1997)
American Association for the Advancement of Science Prize for Behavioral Science Research (1988) (tout afficher 10)
Erik H. Erikson Award (1987)
Distinguished Scientific Award for Early Career Contribution to Social Psychology (1986)
Governor-General's Gold Medal (1975)
British Columbia Psychological Association Gold Medal (1975)
Membres
Critiques
Listes
Prix et récompenses
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Auteurs associés
Statistiques
- Œuvres
- 7
- Aussi par
- 2
- Membres
- 1,393
- Popularité
- #18,451
- Évaluation
- 4.0
- Critiques
- 42
- ISBN
- 42
- Langues
- 7
A much more important ans very interesting final few chapters on the broader space of trying to predict events in the future, probability distributions, and complexity. The question about the limits of forecasting is commendable and perhaps one of the most important points of the book. We can talk about knowledge and prediction within a certain timeframe but beyond that it is a completely different situation and the game changes and its impossible to really
look ahead that far.… (plus d'informations)