Herman Kahn (1922–1983)
Auteur de On Thermonuclear War
A propos de l'auteur
Herman Kahn (1922-1983) was a renowned political scientist, economist, historian, geostrategist, and considered by many to be the founder of futurology as a serious field of study. Associated for many years with the RAND Corporation, he was the founding director of the first independent "think afficher plus tank," the Hudson Institute. Among his many books are Thinking About the Unthinkable, The Year 2000, The Next 200 Years, The Coming Boom, The Resourceful Earth, and On Thermonuclear War. Thomas C. Schelling is Distinguished University Professor at the School of Public Policy, University of Maryland. In addition to being the 2005 Nobel Prize Laureate in Economics, he is the author of numerous works, including Choice and Consequence, The Strategy of Conflict, and Micromotives and Macrobehavior. afficher moins
Crédit image: Herman Kahn (1922-1983)
Photographed by Thomas J. O'Halloran, May 11, 1965.
(U.S. News & World Report Magazine Photograph Collection, Library of Congress Prints and Photographs Division)
Œuvres de Herman Kahn
A l'assaut du futur (Prévisions à court et à moyen terme: la présente et la prochaine décennie) (1972) 15 exemplaires
大転換期 2 exemplaires
O futuro da empresa 1 exemplaire
El aǫ 2000 1 exemplaire
Herman Kahn. Szenarien für den Kalten Krieg 1 exemplaire
Japão: Super-potência 1 exemplaire
Oeuvres associées
Étiqueté
Partage des connaissances
- Date de naissance
- 1922-02-15
- Date de décès
- 1983-07-07
- Lieu de sépulture
- Fair Ridge Cemetery, Chappaqua, Westchester County, New York, USA
- Sexe
- male
- Nationalité
- USA (birth)
- Lieu de naissance
- Bayonne, New Jersey, USA
- Lieu du décès
- Chappaqua, New York, USA
- Lieux de résidence
- Los Angeles, California, USA
- Études
- University of California, Los Angeles
California Institute of Technology - Professions
- political scientist
futurist - Organisations
- Hudson Institute
RAND Corporation
Membres
Critiques
Prix et récompenses
Vous aimerez peut-être aussi
Auteurs associés
Statistiques
- Œuvres
- 27
- Aussi par
- 1
- Membres
- 625
- Popularité
- #40,302
- Évaluation
- 3.0
- Critiques
- 5
- ISBN
- 59
- Langues
- 5
Beyond these ideas, he also develops a kind of taxonomy of the different kinds of deterrence, and elaborates the implications of each at great length. One can recognize the approaches to deterrence by the various different modern nuclear states quite easily in Kahn's treatment of the subject.
Kahn did recognize that, with more powerful thermonuclear devices, more sophisticated delivery systems, and more nuclear-capable nations being likely, the world would become a much more dangerous place in the decades after the 1960's. It would be fascinating to see what he would make of the current nuclear landscape. He does not, for example, address the concept of nuclear winter, which did not become a major subject of inquiry until the early 1980's. Given that even today one can find papers asserting that the dangers of nuclear winter are overstated and other papers predicting that even a relatively modest nuclear war would ultimately lead to the deaths of 90 percent of the human race, a Kahn-style examination of the risks would be highly instructive.… (plus d'informations)